Monthly Archives: October 2019

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On the surface, New England Patriots running back Sony Michel had his best game of the 2019 season on Monday with three touchdowns. In reality, he did very little else to add production to a thorough New England victory.

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Michel rushed for just 42 yards on 19 carries and had one catch for negative-eight yards. Michel’s touchdown runs were for a combined five yards and ten of his carries were for zero or negative yards.

But when Michel did break loose from scrimmage, he was often eating up good yardage. Most of his negative runs were either up the middle or to the right side. His biggest runs were to the left through the tackle or the end, interesting considering how much Patriots left tackle Marshall Newhouse has struggled in pass protection this season.

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The Patriots could exploit this against a Cleveland team that has struggled to defend the run this season.

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Michel is currently one of the top backs in the league in terms of carries per game with 17. Despite not generating big yardage totals, he shows good leverage in short-yardage situations and has been more involved as a receiver as of late.

The Patriots’ rushing attack was a strength at the end of the 2018 season and into their playoff run that culminated with a sixth Super Bowl title. So, what happened? Left tackle Trent Brown departed for the Oakland Raiders, and center David Andrews was lost for the season with a blood clot in his lungs. Brown’s replacement, Isaiah Wynn, hit injured reserve with turf toe and can’t return until Week 12. Fullback James Develin is on injured reserve with a neck injury, and his replacement, Jakob Johnson, is out for the season.

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Starting right guard Shaq Mason was out for the Patriots’ Week 8 win over the Cleveland Browns with an ankle injury. Running back Rex Burkhead also missed time with injuries. It’s not hard to see why this particular part of the Patriots’ offense is stumbling out of the gate. “It’s all of us,” running backs coach Ivan Fears said Monday. “It’s everybody. It’s not one thing. That’s the problem. It’s not one thing. It’s everybody. It’s a combination of circumstances. We’ve got injuries. We’ve got different people. It’s a whole bunch of stuff. And we’ve got to all come together and fix this thing the right way.” Offensive line coach Dante Scarnecchia is taking the brunt of the blame. “No one’s satisfied with it,” Scarnecchia said. “I think we have good backs, and we have to do better. We have to do better up front. I have to do better. I have to do a lot better. Let’s leave it at that. It’s not very pleasing.”

Fears has a positive outlook, however. With the trade deadline looming, Fears believes the Patriots can run with the pieces they currently have in the locker room. It will help when Wynn and Mason return, and the Patriots have new tight ends who are better built to block in Ben Watson and Eric Tomlinson. “We’ve got to figure that out, and everybody has to do their job, and they’ve got to do their role,” Fears said. “And they’ve got to do it at a higher level than we’ve done. And that’s across the board. There’s no ‘you, me, I’m doing this,’ no, no. We’ve all got a piece of this, what’s going on, and even as far as unfortunately losing some pieces. That happened, but we’ve got to turn it around. That’s what we’re going to try to get done.” Fears stressed that he’s happy with Sony Michel, the Patriots’ 2018 first-round pick, who has 140 carries for 464 yards with six touchdowns on the season while averaging just 3.3 yards per carry. “I’m happy he’s still alive,” Fears said. “I’m happy he’s doing a great job. He’s still pretty healthy. He’s playing well, in my mind. He’s doing a lot of good things, and like everybody, he’s got his moments that he’s hurting us. He’s making a mistake too. He’s got to correct those mistakes, be a little bit more consistent in the things he’s doing which will fit in with what everybody else is doing. And hopefully, we’ll be more productive overall. “But I thought he ran hard this weekend. He was running the ball well.

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The good news for us is Josh (McDaniels) is continually calling the run game, giving us a chance, and that’s keeping us a little bit balanced. You want it to be more productive, but at least we’re balanced right now. And we’ve got to keep that up.” Fears also pointed out the Patriots have to start avoiding negative plays. Michel has lost yards on 16 carries this season. He lost yards on just 12 plays last season despite 209 carries. “That’s part of Sony, his decisions,” Fears said. “He can’t take a chance and say, ‘I’ll bounce this thing’ or go east and west all day. He’s got to frigging get downhill. Nothing there, get downhill and run through somebody and let’s go. All of that’s part of it.” Fears is just being honest. He does believe Michel is playing well this season. “I’m very happy with Sony,” Fears said. “Let’s put it that way. I’m very happy with Sony. I’ll leave it there.” Let’s leave it there.

The Browns rushing defense hasn’t been stellar as they may have hoped this season. Part of that could be a lack of a Jamie Collins-esque presence in the linebacker unit. Regardless, Cleveland’s defense allows 154 rushing yards per game — 30th in the NFL.

The Browns have also allowed 5.0 yards per carry this season as well — second-most in the league and the highest YPC allowed the Patriots will face this season. Yes, that includes Miami (4.7 YPC).

For some reason, the Browns just can’t seem to contain the opposing run game. Chris Carson was the latest running back to victimize Cleveland, amassing 124 yards on 24 carries. His 5.2 yards per carry in Seattle’s victory over the Browns was his highest YPC total of the season and he is currently averaging a career-low 4.1 YPC in seven games.

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This could be the game Michel has waited for all season. Michel hasn’t been terrible, all things considered, but he has yet to really have a breakout performance and hasn’t hit the 100-yard plateau in a game this year.

That looks set to change against the Browns. With a 100 percent chance of rain for kickoff, the Patriots may look to use a more run-heavy offense to exploit the Browns’ defensive weakness and beat the elements.

New England saw strong run-blocking production from newly-acquired tight end Eric Tomlinson and, of all people, linebacker Elandon Roberts who filled in at fullback for the team’s goal-line offense.

If the Patriots can get Michel into a groove early, it’s possible they may ride him for a good portion of Sunday’s contest. So do yourself a favor and insert Sony Michel into your starting lineup.

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Over the first month of the NFL season, two potential juggernauts emerged. One of them, the New England Patriots, was a familiar case—even if they were rolling on the strength of the most suffocating defense they’ve fielded in the Bill Belichick era rather than a Tom Brady–led offensive attack. The 49ers, though, were a different story. No one outside of the Bay Area predicted before the start of the season that the Niners would be a playoff team, let alone the most dangerous team in the NFC. Yet after a 51-13 blowout win over the Panthers on Sunday, San Francisco sits at 7-0 and looks like a surefire Super Bowl contender. Midway through the season, Kyle Shanahan’s team has proved that its dominance is just as real as that of the 8-0 Patriots, and neither team looks likely to slow down any time soon.

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At the most basic level, the 49ers have crafted schemes on offense and defense that make them extremely difficult to play against. That may seem like an oversimplification, but San Francisco has added extra layers on both sides of the ball that are designed to confuse and frustrate opposing coaches. When Shanahan worked as a coordinator in Washington and Atlanta—and developed a reputation as one of the best young minds in football—his offenses relied on a system of zone running and play-action passes similar to the one his father, Mike, had developed during his time as the Broncos head coach. This year’s Niners still use play-action at one of the highest rates in the NFL—they’ve deployed it on 34.1 percent of Jimmy Garoppolo’s dropbacks, the fourth-highest percentage in the league—but Shanahan has also added multiple wrinkles that place extra stress on defenses.

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Nearly every play the 49ers use incorporates some kind of misdirection. When Garoppolo hands the ball off, there’s often a faked swing pass, a blocker coming across the formation, or another kind of motion to draw the defense’s eyes. On Deebo Samuel’s 20-yard touchdown run in the third quarter on Sunday, the Niners lined up in a trips formation to the left, with Samuel as the slot receiver. Just before the snap, San Francisco sent recently acquired wide receiver Emmanuel Sanders in jet motion to the right. That’s a fairly standard concept for any NFL offense. But rather than hand the ball off to Sanders or the running back, Samuel got the ball as he stepped inside. For good measure, Garoppolo and running back Tevin Coleman also feigned a pitch to the left to hold the defensive end. With all the moving parts to worry about, the Panthers didn’t lay a finger on Samuel as he scampered down the field for the score.

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On the day, Coleman ran for 105 yards with three touchdowns on only 11 carries. Fellow running back Raheem Mostert had another 60 yards on nine attempts. Playing without their two starting tackles and versatile fullback Kyle Juszczyk, Shanahan and running game coordinator Mike McDaniel still overwhelmed the Panthers defense with a slew of disorienting designs; Carolina never stood a chance.

The Niners offense has impressed by staying afloat despite suffering a number of injuries, but the real strength of this team over the season’s first half has been the defense. San Francisco used most of its available resources this offseason to build up its pass rush, with additions like no. 2 draft pick Nick Bosa and $85 million man Dee Ford. With those two in the fold, the Niners came into Week 7 with the highest adjusted sack rate in the NFL, and tallied another seven sacks against Carolina. But what’s made San Francisco truly terrifying is how well the pass rush and coverage work together. Sunday’s sack total might make it seem like the Niners’ front four controlled the game, but the secondary forced Panthers quarterback Kyle Allen to hang on to the ball in the pocket all afternoon, and when he did let it fly, that group hauled in two of the team’s three interceptions on the day.

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With the Oct. 29 NFL trade deadline just hours away, trade chatter has ramped up. This has not only caused multiple trades to take place already after the Week 8 slate of games over the weekend, but it has led to a chance for teams to place price tags on some of their players. The figurative “for sale” signs popping up in locker rooms around the league to begin this week have set the market for some of the coveted assets who were previously unavailable, which has sparked some new opportunities for the New England Patriots.

The Patriots have been looking to buy before the trade deadline. It’s been no secret. From signing Antonio Brown, to trading for Mohamed Sanu, this team has not been quiet about their desire to acquire offensive talent in-season. However, as we are now coming to the deadline, New England is still in need of some key offensive pieces that could make them a more well-rounded football team and solidify their chances of another Super Bowl appearance this season.

Early last week it was reported that the Patriots had inquired about trading for 24-year-old tight end O.J. Howard, but the Tampa Bay Buccaneers said no.

Any chances of acquiring a pro-bowl caliber left tackle from the Washington Redskins were shut down very quickly this season when the organization continually said they were not trading Trent Williams despite his holdout, which is still going on.

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However, like the flip of a switch, both teams are now open to trading those players.

According to ESPN’s Jenna Laine, Howard is now available for trade, though it would take a “substantial offer” for Tampa Bay to trade him away. For the Redskins, they have finally decided that keeping Williams despite his refusal to play has earned him a spot on the trade block and they are now fielding phone calls for the 31-year-old tackle.

We know they are available now. But what would it take to get them?

A “substantial offer” for Howard would likely fall in the range of a first-round pick when considering that’s the round he was drafted in and the Alabama product has shown playmaking ability at the NFL level at a young age. The belief was always that because of his talent Williams would go for the same price, though it was never reported as fact. Instead, one report suggests that the Redskins may be seeking a playmaker in a trade involving Williams.

Acquiring either of those players if you’re the Patriots makes perfect sense if you are trying to fill a need no matter the cost or financial implications that are involved. But in terms of trading for a player that has value into the future while also not providing too many financial hurdles, only one of these players fits the profile – O.J. Howard.

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Howard is young, has displayed his talent and can continue to evolve his game, all while in the midst of a four-year, $11 million deal. His pro rated cap hit at this point in the season would be approximately $1.5 million. Heading into Monday New England had about $2.8 million in cap space available, though that will now change after they re-signed quarterback Cody Kessler. Trading for Howard would also fill a huge void at tight end left by Rob Gronkowski and has been filled by the likes of Ben Watson, Ryan Izzo, Matt LaCosse and Eric Tomlinson, all who provide no elite talent to the position this season.

Coming into the season, the Niners’ defensive front—stocked with five former first-round picks—always had the potential to be great. The secondary was more of a question mark. But defensive coordinator Robert Saleh and first-year passing game coordinator Joe Woods have transformed the unit. With a dizzying combination of disguised coverages and hard-to-identify schemes, San Francisco has kept quarterbacks’ minds swimming all season. And just like they have on offense, the Niners have been able to overcome injuries to key players, like third-year cornerback Ahkello Witherspoon (foot), who was playing the best football of his career before getting injured against the Steelers in Week 3. The Niners defense hasn’t missed a beat with backup cornerback Emmanuel Moseley in the lineup, though; he snagged his first interception of the season on an errant throw from Allen early in Sunday’s second quarter.

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While Patriots quarterback Tom Brady waited outside the visitors’ locker room for Cleveland Browns wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr. Sunday evening, there was another person right by his side: his nine-year-old son Ben.

Brady and Ben stayed for a lengthy chat with Beckham Jr., well after both locker rooms had cleared out following New England’s 27-13 victory to improve to 8-0. During his weekly radio interview with WEEI Monday morning, Brady was not asked about the trio’s topic of conversation.

He did explain how his son became such a fan of a non-Patriot player.

“My oldest son [Jack] lives in New York and he’s a big fan of [Beckham Jr.],” Brady said. “All the kids at school in New York after he made that catch were like, ‘OBJ! OBJ! OBJ!’ So then my son Benny from his older brother got to know who he was. It was pretty nice.”

Brady also expressed his appreciation for Beckham Jr.’s unique postgame gift: a pair of goat-hair cleats. Beckham Jr. shared earlier in the week he had planned to give the shoes to Brady as a nod to the 42-year-old’s “greatest-of-all-time” status. Brady returned some praise Monday.

“He’s a great player,” Brady said. “I always wish him a lot of success. They are going to keep plugging along there and we’re going to keep plugging along here and see how it shakes out at the end of the year.”

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In almost any other year, the Niners defense would be considered the most dominant in the league. Coming into Week 8, San Francisco had a -39.1 percent defensive DVOA; that would be the second-best mark ever recorded for an entire season. Unfortunately for San Francisco, this season also features the best statistical defense the league has ever seen. Over New England’s first seven games, the Pats recorded an absurd -49.7 percent DVOA and allowed just 48 points. If the Patriots offense had never set foot on the field during that time, New England would still be 3-3-1. Think about that for a second. Entering Week 8, the Pats defense had been one of the most game-wrecking groups ever, and it continued that tour of destruction in Sunday’s 27-13 win over the Browns. The Patriots recorded another five sacks—bringing their season total to a league-leading 31—an interception, and a first-quarter fumble return for a touchdown. New England now has six non-offensive touchdowns on the season; that’s two more than the defense has allowed.

Much like the 49ers, the Patriots have built a unit where the pass rush and pass coverage work in perfect harmony. Led by cornerback Stephon Gilmore, New England has the strongest, deepest secondary in the NFL, and their abilities in man coverage have allowed Belichick to feel comfortable sending extra rushers after the quarterback. Linebacker Jamie Collins picked up another 1.5 sacks on Sunday after coming into Week 8 with 4.5 on the season. Through seven weeks, he led all linebackers with 14 pass pressures, and he’ll likely keep that standing after another huge game against Cleveland. Fellow linebacker Kyle Van Noy added 26 pressures of his own through seven games, and he was a menace all afternoon on Sunday.


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New England’s offense hasn’t been the unstoppable machine we’ve seen in recent years; Brady would have recorded another ugly red zone interception on Sunday if cornerback Denzel Ward hadn’t dropped the ball. But with the way the Patriots defense has been playing, the offense doesn’t have to put up 30 points per game for New England to trample every other team in the AFC. Just like the Niners have done so far this season, the Patriots have created schemes that leave opponents with little recourse. It’s nearly impossible to move the ball against a defense that routinely sends five or six pass rushers and doesn’t leave itself vulnerable in coverage as a result.

At this point, there’s no reason to think these teams can’t keep up something close to this level of dominance for the rest of the season. After facing a cupcake-filled schedule so far, the Patriots have games against quality teams like the Ravens (Week 9), Eagles (Week 11), Cowboys (Week 12), Texans (Week 13), and Chiefs (Week 14) during the second half of the season. Still, it’s reasonable to assume that New England will be favored in all of them. San Francisco also has a back-loaded schedule that includes two games against the Seahawks (weeks 10 and 17) and matchups with the Packers (Week 12), Ravens (Week 13), Saints (Week 14), and Rams (Week 16). It would be a monumental feat for either of these teams to run the table, but looking at their schedules before the season, games against the Panthers and Browns certainly didn’t look like potential blowouts, either. Of the two, New England’s path seems more plausible, especially if it can make it to early December unscathed.

For the Patriots, historic greatness is nothing new. This year’s defense is on pace to set records just like the offense did in 2007 when New England went 16-0. But the Niners haven’t played this well in a long, long time. It may have taken a while for some to believe that San Francisco’s fresh start wasn’t a mirage, but it’s safe to say this team belongs in the same class as New England. At the halfway mark of the season, a Super Bowl clash between Brady and his old backup looks like it could be a real possibility. Belichick traded Garoppolo to the Niners rather than one of the other teams that inquired about him in part because he thought Shanahan would give the young QB the best chance to thrive. That trust has been proved right, and now both teams are on a collision course that could have them facing off in February.